Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.396840 0.458387 0.525434 0.603779 0.692690 0.790334 0.905563
2025-09-07 0.307738 0.395544 0.500632 0.635083 0.801888 1.001339 1.257141
2025-09-14 0.238584 0.332504 0.453133 0.618185 0.836705 1.114481 1.492433
2025-09-21 0.192047 0.286509 0.415209 0.601350 0.861237 1.208348 1.703548
2025-09-28 0.158980 0.251953 0.385388 0.587962 0.884097 1.296763 1.909697
2025-10-05 0.140848 0.235414 0.377461 0.602380 0.944455 1.438741 2.198461
2025-10-12 0.129858 0.227684 0.380741 0.632327 1.028556 1.619575 2.555464
2025-10-19 0.117569 0.215813 0.375615 0.647762 1.090696 1.771317 2.879424
2025-10-26 0.105448 0.202314 0.365861 0.653962 1.137696 1.902129 3.179509
2025-11-02 0.093824 0.187919 0.352625 0.652354 1.170829 2.012287 3.453458
2025-11-09 0.082693 0.172778 0.336137 0.642971 1.189262 2.098905 3.694112
2025-11-16 0.073196 0.159341 0.320981 0.633958 1.206747 2.184067 3.936733
2025-11-23 0.063130 0.143542 0.299961 0.612653 1.201621 2.232341 4.124066
2025-11-30 0.060520 0.142670 0.307303 0.645165 1.296693 2.460672 4.637475
2025-12-07 0.052887 0.129991 0.289901 0.628079 1.297930 2.522988 4.863166
2025-12-14 0.046279 0.118530 0.273504 0.611002 1.297138 2.580709 5.083317
2025-12-21 0.040834 0.108869 0.259641 0.597417 1.301505 2.647475 5.323370
2025-12-28 0.038289 0.105696 0.259347 0.612047 1.363128 2.825642 5.781717
2026-01-04 0.037121 0.105734 0.266139 0.642433 1.459151 3.075687 6.391221
2026-01-11 0.034981 0.102987 0.266258 0.658094 1.525596 3.272091 6.908932
2026-01-18 0.032422 0.098755 0.262407 0.664384 1.572469 3.432412 7.365279
2026-01-25 0.029645 0.093494 0.255452 0.662753 1.601816 3.558851 7.761192
2026-02-01 0.026721 0.087350 0.245587 0.653232 1.612805 3.648081 8.087010